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DOI | 10.1007/s10584-020-02663-z |
Global reconstruction of twentieth century lake surface water temperature reveals different warming trends depending on the climatic zone | |
Piccolroaz S.; Woolway R.I.; Merchant C.J. | |
发表日期 | 2020 |
ISSN | 0165-0009 |
起始页码 | 427 |
结束页码 | 442 |
卷号 | 160期号:3 |
英文摘要 | Lake surface water temperatures (LSWTs) are sensitive to climate change, but previous studies have typically focused on temperatures from only the last few decades. Thus, while there is good appreciation of LSWT warming in recent decades, our understanding of longer-term temperature change is comparatively limited. In this study, we use a mechanistically based open-source model (air2water), driven by air temperature from a state-of-the-art global atmospheric reanalysis (ERA-20C) and calibrated with satellite-derived LSWT observations (ARC-Lake v3), to investigate the long-term change in LSWT worldwide. The predictive ability of the model is tested across 606 lakes, with 91% of the lakes showing a daily root mean square error smaller than 1.5 °C. Model performance was better at mid-latitudes and decreased towards the equator. The results illustrated highly variable mean annual LSWT trends during the twentieth century and across climatic regions. Substantial warming is evident after ~ 1980 and the most responsive lakes to climate change are located in the temperate regions. © 2020, Springer Nature B.V. |
英文关键词 | Air2water; Climate change; Limnology; Modelling; Reanalysis; Remote sensing |
语种 | 英语 |
scopus关键词 | Atmospheric temperature; C (programming language); Lakes; Limnology; Mean square error; Models; Remote sensing; Air2water; Atmospheric reanalysis; Predictive abilities; Reanalysis; Root mean square errors; Surface water temperature; Temperate regions; Temperature changes; Climate change |
来源期刊 | Climatic Change
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文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/147164 |
作者单位 | Independent Researcher, Trento, Italy; Free University of Bolzano, Bolzano, Italy; Dundalk Institute of Technology, Dundalk, Ireland; Department of Meteorology, University of Reading, Reading, United Kingdom; National Centre for Earth Observation, University of Reading, Reading, United Kingdom |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Piccolroaz S.,Woolway R.I.,Merchant C.J.. Global reconstruction of twentieth century lake surface water temperature reveals different warming trends depending on the climatic zone[J],2020,160(3). |
APA | Piccolroaz S.,Woolway R.I.,&Merchant C.J..(2020).Global reconstruction of twentieth century lake surface water temperature reveals different warming trends depending on the climatic zone.Climatic Change,160(3). |
MLA | Piccolroaz S.,et al."Global reconstruction of twentieth century lake surface water temperature reveals different warming trends depending on the climatic zone".Climatic Change 160.3(2020). |
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