气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Back to the basic: toward improvement of technoeconomic representation in integrated assessment models

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DOI	10.1007/s10584-020-02731-4
	Back to the basic: toward improvement of technoeconomic representation in integrated assessment models
	Shiraki H.; Sugiyama M.
发表日期	2020
ISSN	0165-0009
起始页码	13
结束页码	24
卷号	162 期号:1
英文摘要	With the shift of climate debate from understanding to actions, the use of integrated assessment models (IAMs) is gradually expanding. Since IAMs produce least-cost pathways, technoeconomic parameters constitute one of the basic parameters. Traditionally, IAMs dealt with technologies with slowly-changing, relatively homogeneous manner. Since technologies are rapidly evolving, and the pattern of technological development is regionally heterogeneous, the IAM community must embrace a new strategy to treat their underlying technoeconomic parameters. Here we illustrate such challenges by reviewing the treatment and performance of IAMs with respect to some of the rapidly changing technologies (e.g., solar, wind, and batteries). Our review shows that IAMs have difficulty in updating the cost of the rapidly changing technologies. We then articulate a new strategy, drawing upon the lesson from the current model intercomparison projects and climate sciences. We argue that a loose network of modeling groups across the globe should create a database of technological parameters in a standardized format and standard evaluation tool, perhaps to be facilitated by the IAM Consortium. Such a framework would contribute to the review of the progress toward the Paris Agreement goals. © 2020, Springer Nature B.V.
英文关键词	Best available database; Climate change mitigation; Energy scenario; Evaluation tool; Integrated assessment model; Technology-policy interaction
语种	英语
scopus关键词	Climate change; Basic parameters; Climate science; Current modeling; Integrated assessment models; Standard evaluations; Techno-economics; Technological development; Technological parameters; Climate models; climate change; integrated approach; international agreement; numerical model; technological development
来源期刊	Climatic Change
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/147113
作者单位	School of Environmental Science, The University of Shiga Prefecture, 2500 Hassaka, Hikone, Shiga 522-8533, Japan; Institute for Future Initiatives, The University of Tokyo, 7-3-1 Hongo, Bunkyo-ku, Tokyo, 113-0033, Japan
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Shiraki H.,Sugiyama M.. Back to the basic: toward improvement of technoeconomic representation in integrated assessment models[J],2020,162(1).
APA	Shiraki H.,&Sugiyama M..(2020).Back to the basic: toward improvement of technoeconomic representation in integrated assessment models.Climatic Change,162(1).
MLA	Shiraki H.,et al."Back to the basic: toward improvement of technoeconomic representation in integrated assessment models".Climatic Change 162.1(2020).