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DOI10.1007/s10584-020-02767-6
MRV framework and prospective scenarios to monitor and ratchet up Brazilian transport mitigation targets
Goes G.V.; Gonçalves D.N.S.; de Almeida D’Agosto M.; La Rovere E.L.; de Mello Bandeira R.A.
发表日期2020
ISSN0165-0009
起始页码2197
结束页码2217
卷号162期号:4
英文摘要Transitioning from a carbon-intensive development path to a low-carbon economy requires understanding of emission sources and its drivers. To achieve Nationally Determined Contribution targets discussed under the Paris Agreement, countries must project emission baselines considering different levels of ambition and sectoral performances and monitor government policies and mitigation actions. This study develops a Monitoring, Reporting, and Verification (MRV) framework based on energy use and carbon emission scenarios for Brazil up to 2030, focusing on transport. Three scenarios are developed based on different political commitments. All scenarios and mitigation actions are discussed under the Brazilian Forum on Climate Change, which is recognized as one of the most important institutional instruments of the National Policy on Climate Change. Results reveal a 41% abatement in CO2e emissions when comparing the most ambitious scenario to the conservative one. MRV framework indicates that Brazil is on track to a low carbon economic transition, although joint action is needed. This is mainly due to the increasing penetration of bioenergy into the transport energy matrix, while electromobility does not expand in Brazil at the pace of major international players such as Europe and China. Special contribution of this paper is on the role of bioenergy in prospective carbon emission scenarios, which is a lack in the literature. © 2020, Springer Nature B.V.
英文关键词Energy efficiency; MRV; NDC; Prospective scenarios; Transitioning narratives
语种英语
scopus关键词Carbon; Economics; Carbon emissions; Development path; Electromobility; Emission sources; Low carbon economy; Low-carbon economic; National policies; Transport energy; Climate change; bioenergy; carbon dioxide; carbon emission; conceptual framework; international agreement; political discourse; scenario analysis; state role; traffic emission; Brazil; China; Europe
来源期刊Climatic Change
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/147037
作者单位Transportation Engineering Program, Technology Center, Federal University of Rio de Janeiro COPPE/UFRJ, Block H - Room 117, University City, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil; Military Institute of Engineering, Praça General Tibúrcio 80, Praia Vermelha, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
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Goes G.V.,Gonçalves D.N.S.,de Almeida D’Agosto M.,et al. MRV framework and prospective scenarios to monitor and ratchet up Brazilian transport mitigation targets[J],2020,162(4).
APA Goes G.V.,Gonçalves D.N.S.,de Almeida D’Agosto M.,La Rovere E.L.,&de Mello Bandeira R.A..(2020).MRV framework and prospective scenarios to monitor and ratchet up Brazilian transport mitigation targets.Climatic Change,162(4).
MLA Goes G.V.,et al."MRV framework and prospective scenarios to monitor and ratchet up Brazilian transport mitigation targets".Climatic Change 162.4(2020).
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