气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Climate change impacts on potential future ranges of non-human primate species

CCPortal

DOI	10.1007/s10584-020-02776-5
	Climate change impacts on potential future ranges of non-human primate species
	Stewart B.M.; Turner S.E.; Matthews H.D.
发表日期	2020
ISSN	0165-0009
起始页码	2301
结束页码	2318
卷号	162 期号:4
英文摘要	Climate change is likely to negatively affect the habitats of non-human primate species. Recent research has identified a near-linear relationship between cumulative CO2 emissions, and the resulting regional and seasonal temperature increase. Here, we use this relationship to assess the potential impact that cumulative CO2 emissions could have on the ranges available to primate species. We used data from the International Union for Conservation of Nature on ranges for 426 species and subspecies of non-human primates, combined with spatial climate data from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 that represent regional and seasonal temperature changes per unit CO2 emissions. Using these data, we estimated the portion of the area of each species’ range where annual average temperatures exceed the Pre-industrial Seasonal Maximum Temperatures (PSMT), for cumulative CO2 emissions from 600 to 2000 billion tonnes of carbon. For the level of emissions corresponding to a 2 °C global temperature increase scenario, 26.1% of all ranges had temperatures in excess of their PSMTs, and for 8% of species, the entire current range was above their PSMT. This suggests the potential for considerable loss of or compromised habitat for non-human primates on a global scale, as a result of the emergence of climate conditions that are outside of the scope of historical experience for many species. Our results point to key priorities for conservation efforts, as well as the need for future research on strategies to increase the resilience of vulnerable local non-human primate populations. © 2020, Springer Nature B.V.
英文关键词	CO2 emissions; Conservation; Global warming; Habitat change; Primate order; Surface temperature
语种	英语
scopus关键词	Carbon dioxide; Climate models; Conservation; Ecosystems; Industrial emissions; Mammals; Climate change impact; Coupled Model Intercomparison Project; Global temperatures; Historical experience; Linear relationships; Maximum temperature; Seasonal temperature; Seasonal temperature changes; Climate change; carbon emission; climate change; climate effect; CMIP; conservation planning; ecosystem resilience; primate; range expansion; seasonality; subspecies; temperature effect; Primates
来源期刊	Climatic Change
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/147033
作者单位	Department of Geography, Planning & Environment, Concordia University, 1455 de Maisonneuve Blvd. W, Montreal, QC H3G 1M8, Canada
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Stewart B.M.,Turner S.E.,Matthews H.D.. Climate change impacts on potential future ranges of non-human primate species[J],2020,162(4).
APA	Stewart B.M.,Turner S.E.,&Matthews H.D..(2020).Climate change impacts on potential future ranges of non-human primate species.Climatic Change,162(4).
MLA	Stewart B.M.,et al."Climate change impacts on potential future ranges of non-human primate species".Climatic Change 162.4(2020).