气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): An agent-based model for community flood adaptation under uncertain sea-level rise

CCPortal

DOI	10.1007/s10584-020-02802-6
	An agent-based model for community flood adaptation under uncertain sea-level rise
	Han Y.; Ash K.; Mao L.; Peng Z.-R.
发表日期	2020
ISSN	0165-0009
起始页码	2257
结束页码	2276
卷号	162 期号:4
英文摘要	Adaptation has become the major approach to reduce the adverse effects of storm surge and sea-level rise. However, maladaptation can happen when adaptation actions unintentionally increase community vulnerability. To evaluate the adequacy and efficacy of adaptation policies under uncertain sea-level rise, this study presents an agent-based model by integrating the random nature of storm surges, private adaptation decisions, and real estate market valuation. We evaluated the evolving flood damage of different adaptation strategies under two bounding cases of real estate market change. Our model results quantitatively illustrate the accelerating damages of storm surges under climate-induced sea-level rise. A reform in flood insurance to risk-based rates with a means-tested voucher program and a government-subsidized “twice and out” buyout program could both substantially improve coastal resilience. However, community adaptation with a public seawall may deliver false risk perception to high-risk property owners and result in maladaptation when sea-level rise rate is high. The modeling approach developed in this study can be used as a policy analysis tool to measure the impacts of sea-level rise and the effectiveness of adaptation strategies in coastal communities. © 2020, Springer Nature B.V.
英文关键词	Agent-based model; Coastal adaptation; Flood risk; Sea-level rise
语种	英语
scopus关键词	Autonomous agents; Climate models; Commerce; Computational methods; Flood insurance; Floods; Risk perception; Simulation platform; Software testing; Storms; Adaptation decisions; Adaptation policies; Adaptation strategies; Agent-based model; Coastal communities; Community vulnerability; Property owners; Real estate market; Sea level; action plan; adaptive management; coastal development; community development; flood control; flood damage; government; numerical model; sea level change; storm surge; strategic approach; uncertainty analysis; valuation
来源期刊	Climatic Change
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/147018
作者单位	University of Florida, Gainesville, FL, United States
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Han Y.,Ash K.,Mao L.,et al. An agent-based model for community flood adaptation under uncertain sea-level rise[J],2020,162(4).
APA	Han Y.,Ash K.,Mao L.,&Peng Z.-R..(2020).An agent-based model for community flood adaptation under uncertain sea-level rise.Climatic Change,162(4).
MLA	Han Y.,et al."An agent-based model for community flood adaptation under uncertain sea-level rise".Climatic Change 162.4(2020).