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DOI10.1007/s10584-020-02851-x
Traditional livelihoods under a changing climate: herder perceptions of climate change and its consequences in South Gobi; Mongolia
Mijiddorj T.N.; Alexander J.S.; Samelius G.; Mishra C.; Boldgiv B.
发表日期2020
ISSN0165-0009
起始页码1065
结束页码1079
卷号162期号:3
英文摘要Climate change is affecting virtually all environments in the world today. The Central Asian mountains, where livestock herding is the main source of livelihood, are among the environments predicted to be most affected. In this paper, we use meteorological records and herder perceptions to improve the understanding of climate change and examine how different climate change scenarios will affect herder livelihoods in the Tost-Tosonbumba Nature Reserve of southern Mongolia. Herders with generation-long herding experience perceived that there had been changes in all eight meteorological variables examined in this study between 1995 and 2015, including winter temperature, summer temperature, summer precipitation, frequency of intense rain, frequency of drizzle rain, wind speed, number of windy days, and snow cover. Herder perceptions and meteorological data showed the same patterns for 3 of the 8 variables at α = 0.05 and for 5 of the 8 variables at α = 0.10. Herders also predicted that all 9 climate change scenarios presented would have negative impacts on their practices and livelihoods. Our work suggests that herder perceptions of climate change can provide important information on changes in the climate and insights on factors that put their livelihoods at risk. © 2020, Springer Nature B.V.
英文关键词Climate variables; Future practice; Herder perception; Impacts; Rangeland; Risk
语种英语
scopus关键词Agriculture; Rain; Risk perception; Snow; Wind; Changing climate; Climate change scenarios; Meteorological data; Meteorological records; Meteorological variables; Nature reserves; Summer precipitation; Summer temperature; Climate change; cultural tradition; drizzle; livelihood; livestock farming; nature reserve; perception; precipitation intensity; snow cover; wind velocity; Mongolia; South Gobi
来源期刊Climatic Change
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/147002
作者单位Snow Leopard Conservation Foundation, Ulaanbaatar, Mongolia; Ecology Group, Department of Biology, School of Arts and Sciences, National University of Mongolia, Ulaanbaatar, 14201, Mongolia; Snow Leopard Trust, 4649 Sunnyside Avenue North, Seattle, WA, United States
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GB/T 7714
Mijiddorj T.N.,Alexander J.S.,Samelius G.,et al. Traditional livelihoods under a changing climate: herder perceptions of climate change and its consequences in South Gobi; Mongolia[J],2020,162(3).
APA Mijiddorj T.N.,Alexander J.S.,Samelius G.,Mishra C.,&Boldgiv B..(2020).Traditional livelihoods under a changing climate: herder perceptions of climate change and its consequences in South Gobi; Mongolia.Climatic Change,162(3).
MLA Mijiddorj T.N.,et al."Traditional livelihoods under a changing climate: herder perceptions of climate change and its consequences in South Gobi; Mongolia".Climatic Change 162.3(2020).
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