气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Climate change uncertainty among American farmers: an examination of multi-dimensional uncertainty and attitudes towards agricultural adaptation to climate change

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DOI	10.1007/s10584-020-02860-w
	Climate change uncertainty among American farmers: an examination of multi-dimensional uncertainty and attitudes towards agricultural adaptation to climate change
	Singh A.S.; Eanes F.; Prokopy L.S.
发表日期	2020
ISSN	0165-0009
起始页码	1047
结束页码	1064
卷号	162 期号:3
英文摘要	A large survey of corn farmers in twelve US midwestern states (n = 6849) was used to determine the role of multiple dimensions of uncertainty on prior experience with climate change, attitudes towards climate adaptation, and use of climate outlooks in agricultural decision-making. Epistemic uncertainty refers to a perception about the level of information about a phenomenon. Aleatoric uncertainty is a perception that a phenomenon occurs at random and no new information will reduce uncertainty while response uncertainty refers to the perception of the efficacy of an action to reduce a risk. Epistemic and response uncertainty explained a large portion of variance of farmers’ attitudes towards adaptation and their willingness to use weather and climate outlook tools. Aleatoric uncertainty however did not add or added only a small portion of variance explaining farmers’ attitudes climate adaptation or use of climate tools. Our results indicate that climate scientists should not treat farmers’ uncertainty as a monolithic concept, but instead embrace its multidimensionality. We also suggest that reception of expert-led presentations or tools that have a lot of modeling data, which are often layered with statistical uncertainty, can negatively influence farmers’ model uncertainty. © 2020, Springer Nature B.V.
英文关键词	Agriculture; Climate adaptation; Climate change; Climate communication; Food security; Uncertainty
语种	英语
scopus关键词	Agricultural robots; Agriculture; Risk perception; Uncertainty analysis; Adaptation to climate changes; Climate scientists; Epistemic uncertainties; Model uncertainties; Multi dimensional; Multidimensionality; Multiple dimensions; Statistical uncertainty; Climate change; adaptive management; agricultural application; attitudinal survey; climate change; decision making; farmers knowledge; maize; perception; public attitude; uncertainty analysis; Midwest; United States; Zea mays
来源期刊	Climatic Change
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/146996
作者单位	CSU, Sacramento, CA, United States; Bates College, Lewiston, ME, United States; Purdue University, West Lafayette, IN, United States
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Singh A.S.,Eanes F.,Prokopy L.S.. Climate change uncertainty among American farmers: an examination of multi-dimensional uncertainty and attitudes towards agricultural adaptation to climate change[J],2020,162(3).
APA	Singh A.S.,Eanes F.,&Prokopy L.S..(2020).Climate change uncertainty among American farmers: an examination of multi-dimensional uncertainty and attitudes towards agricultural adaptation to climate change.Climatic Change,162(3).
MLA	Singh A.S.,et al."Climate change uncertainty among American farmers: an examination of multi-dimensional uncertainty and attitudes towards agricultural adaptation to climate change".Climatic Change 162.3(2020).