气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): The CORDEX-Australasia ensemble: evaluation and future projections

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DOI	10.1007/s00382-020-05459-0
	The CORDEX-Australasia ensemble: evaluation and future projections
	Evans J.P.; Di Virgilio G.; Hirsch A.L.; Hoffmann P.; Remedio A.R.; Ji F.; Rockel B.; Coppola E.
发表日期	2020
ISSN	0930-7575
英文摘要	A new regional climate projection ensemble has been created for the Australasia region as part of the World Climate Research Programs Coordinated Regional Downscaling Experiment (CORDEX). The CORDEX-Australasia ensemble is the largest regional climate projection ensemble ever created for the region. It is a 20-member ensemble made by 6 regional climate models downscaling 11 global climate models. Overall the ensemble produces a good representation of recent climate. Consistent biases within the ensemble include an underestimation of the diurnal temperature range and an underestimation of precipitation across much of southern Australia. Under a high emissions scenario projected temperature changes by the end of the twenty-first century reach ~ 5 K in the interior of Australia with smaller increases found toward the coast. Projected precipitation changes are towards drying, particularly in the most populated areas of the southwest and southeast of the continent. The projected precipitation change is very seasonal with summer projected to see little change leaning toward an increase. These results provide a foundation enabling future studies of regional climate changes, climate change impacts, and adaptation options for Australia. © 2020, Springer-Verlag GmbH Germany, part of Springer Nature.
语种	英语
来源期刊	Climate Dynamics
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/145703
作者单位	Climate Change Research Centre, University of New South Wales, Sydney, Australia; Australian Research Council Centre of Excellence for Climate Extremes, University of New South Wales, Sydney, Australia; Climate Service Center Germany (GERICS), Helmholtz-Zentrum Geesthacht, Hamburg, Germany; Climate Science Centre-CSIRO Oceans and Atmosphere, Aspendale, Australia; NSW Department of Planning, Industry and Environment, Sydney, Australia; Institute of Coastal Research, Helmholtz-Zentrum Geesthacht, Geesthacht, Germany; The Abdus Salam International Centre for Theoretical Physics ICTP, Trieste, Italy
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Evans J.P.,Di Virgilio G.,Hirsch A.L.,et al. The CORDEX-Australasia ensemble: evaluation and future projections[J],2020.
APA	Evans J.P..,Di Virgilio G..,Hirsch A.L..,Hoffmann P..,Remedio A.R..,...&Coppola E..(2020).The CORDEX-Australasia ensemble: evaluation and future projections.Climate Dynamics.
MLA	Evans J.P.,et al."The CORDEX-Australasia ensemble: evaluation and future projections".Climate Dynamics (2020).