气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Diverse influences of spring Arctic Oscillation on the following winter El Niño

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DOI	10.1007/s00382-020-05483-0
	Diverse influences of spring Arctic Oscillation on the following winter El Niño–Southern Oscillation in CMIP5 models
	Zheng Y.; Chen S.; Chen W.; Yu B.
发表日期	2020
ISSN	0930-7575
英文摘要	This study evaluates the ability of 35 climate models, which participate in the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5) historical climate simulations, in reproducing the connection between boreal spring Arctic Oscillation (AO) and its following winter El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO). The spring AO–winter ENSO correlations range from − 0.41 to 0.44 among the 35 models for the period of 1958–2005. Ensemble means of the models with positive and negative AO–ENSO correlations both show strong spring sea surface temperature (SST) cooling in the subtropical North Pacific during a positive phase of spring AO, which is conducive to occurrence of a La Niña event in the following winter. However, the models with positive AO–ENSO relations produce a pronounced spring cyclonic anomaly over the subtropical northwestern Pacific and westerly anomalies over the tropical western Pacific (TWP). These westerly wind anomalies bring SST warming and positive precipitation anomalies in the tropical central-eastern Pacific (TCEP) during the following summer, which would maintain and develop into the following winter that support an El Niño-like pattern in the TCEP via a positive air-sea feedback mechanism. By contrast, the models with negative AO–ENSO connections fail to reproduce the spring AO-related cyclonic anomaly over the subtropical northwestern Pacific and westerly wind anomalies in the TWP. Thus, these models would produce a La Niña-like pattern in the subsequent winter. Difference in the spring AO-associated atmospheric anomalies over the subtropical North Pacific among the CMIP5 models may be attributed to biases of the models in simulating the spring climatological storm track. © 2020, Springer-Verlag GmbH Germany, part of Springer Nature.
英文关键词	CMIP5; ENSO; Spring Arctic Oscillation; Storm track; Westerly wind anomalies
语种	英语
来源期刊	Climate Dynamics
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/145699
作者单位	Center for Monsoon System Research, Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China; University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, 100049, China; Climate Research Division, Environment and Climate Change Canada, Toronto, ON, Canada
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Zheng Y.,Chen S.,Chen W.,等. Diverse influences of spring Arctic Oscillation on the following winter El Niño–Southern Oscillation in CMIP5 models[J],2020.
APA	Zheng Y.,Chen S.,Chen W.,&Yu B..(2020).Diverse influences of spring Arctic Oscillation on the following winter El Niño–Southern Oscillation in CMIP5 models.Climate Dynamics.
MLA	Zheng Y.,et al."Diverse influences of spring Arctic Oscillation on the following winter El Niño–Southern Oscillation in CMIP5 models".Climate Dynamics (2020).