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DOI10.5194/acp-20-11955-2020
Accelerated increases in global and Asian summer monsoon precipitation from future aerosol reductions
Wilcox L.J.; Liu Z.; Samset B.H.; Hawkins E.; Lund M.T.; Nordling K.; Undorf S.; Bollasina M.; Ekman A.M.L.; Krishnan S.; Merikanto J.; Turner A.G.
发表日期2020
ISSN16807316
起始页码11955
结束页码11977
卷号20期号:20
英文摘要There is a large range of future aerosol emissions scenarios explored in the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs), with plausible pathways spanning a range of possibilities from large global reductions in emissions by 2050 to moderate global increases over the same period. Diversity in emissions across the pathways is particularly large over Asia. Rapid reductions in anthropogenic aerosol and precursor emissions between the present day and the 2050s lead to enhanced increases in global and Asian summer monsoon precipitation relative to scenarios with weak air quality policies. However, the effects of aerosol reductions do not persist to the end of the 21st century for precipitation, when instead the response to greenhouse gases dominates differences across the SSPs. The relative magnitude and spatial distribution of aerosol changes are particularly important for South Asian summer monsoon precipitation changes. Precipitation increases here are initially suppressed in SSPs 2-4.5, 3-7.0, and 5-8.5 relative to SSP1-1.9 when the impact of remote emission decreases is counteracted by continued increases in South Asian emissions. © 2020 Author(s).
语种英语
scopus关键词aerosol; air quality; anthropogenic source; emission control; magnitude; monsoon; precipitation (climatology); spatial distribution; South Asia
来源期刊Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/143886
作者单位National Centre for Atmospheric Science, University of Reading, Reading, United Kingdom; Department of Meteorology, University of Reading, Reading, United Kingdom; School of Geosciences, Grant Institute, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, United Kingdom; Cicero Center for International Climate Research, Oslo, Norway; Finnish Meteorological Institute, Helsinki, Finland; Department of Meteorology, Stockholm University, Stockholm, Sweden
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Wilcox L.J.,Liu Z.,Samset B.H.,et al. Accelerated increases in global and Asian summer monsoon precipitation from future aerosol reductions[J],2020,20(20).
APA Wilcox L.J..,Liu Z..,Samset B.H..,Hawkins E..,Lund M.T..,...&Turner A.G..(2020).Accelerated increases in global and Asian summer monsoon precipitation from future aerosol reductions.Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics,20(20).
MLA Wilcox L.J.,et al."Accelerated increases in global and Asian summer monsoon precipitation from future aerosol reductions".Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics 20.20(2020).
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