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DOI | 10.5194/acp-20-11955-2020 |
Accelerated increases in global and Asian summer monsoon precipitation from future aerosol reductions | |
Wilcox L.J.; Liu Z.; Samset B.H.; Hawkins E.; Lund M.T.; Nordling K.; Undorf S.; Bollasina M.; Ekman A.M.L.; Krishnan S.; Merikanto J.; Turner A.G. | |
发表日期 | 2020 |
ISSN | 16807316 |
起始页码 | 11955 |
结束页码 | 11977 |
卷号 | 20期号:20 |
英文摘要 | There is a large range of future aerosol emissions scenarios explored in the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs), with plausible pathways spanning a range of possibilities from large global reductions in emissions by 2050 to moderate global increases over the same period. Diversity in emissions across the pathways is particularly large over Asia. Rapid reductions in anthropogenic aerosol and precursor emissions between the present day and the 2050s lead to enhanced increases in global and Asian summer monsoon precipitation relative to scenarios with weak air quality policies. However, the effects of aerosol reductions do not persist to the end of the 21st century for precipitation, when instead the response to greenhouse gases dominates differences across the SSPs. The relative magnitude and spatial distribution of aerosol changes are particularly important for South Asian summer monsoon precipitation changes. Precipitation increases here are initially suppressed in SSPs 2-4.5, 3-7.0, and 5-8.5 relative to SSP1-1.9 when the impact of remote emission decreases is counteracted by continued increases in South Asian emissions. © 2020 Author(s). |
语种 | 英语 |
scopus关键词 | aerosol; air quality; anthropogenic source; emission control; magnitude; monsoon; precipitation (climatology); spatial distribution; South Asia |
来源期刊 | Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics
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文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/143886 |
作者单位 | National Centre for Atmospheric Science, University of Reading, Reading, United Kingdom; Department of Meteorology, University of Reading, Reading, United Kingdom; School of Geosciences, Grant Institute, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, United Kingdom; Cicero Center for International Climate Research, Oslo, Norway; Finnish Meteorological Institute, Helsinki, Finland; Department of Meteorology, Stockholm University, Stockholm, Sweden |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Wilcox L.J.,Liu Z.,Samset B.H.,et al. Accelerated increases in global and Asian summer monsoon precipitation from future aerosol reductions[J],2020,20(20). |
APA | Wilcox L.J..,Liu Z..,Samset B.H..,Hawkins E..,Lund M.T..,...&Turner A.G..(2020).Accelerated increases in global and Asian summer monsoon precipitation from future aerosol reductions.Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics,20(20). |
MLA | Wilcox L.J.,et al."Accelerated increases in global and Asian summer monsoon precipitation from future aerosol reductions".Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics 20.20(2020). |
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