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DOI | 10.1038/s41558-020-0838-5 |
Rapid winter warming could disrupt coastal marine fish community structure | |
Clark N.J.; Kerry J.T.; Fraser C.I. | |
发表日期 | 2020 |
ISSN | 1758-678X |
起始页码 | 862 |
结束页码 | 867 |
卷号 | 10期号:9 |
英文摘要 | Marine ecosystems are under increasing threat from warming waters. Winter warming is occurring at a faster rate than summer warming for ecosystems around the world, but most studies focus on the summer. Here, we show that winter warming could affect coastal fish community compositions in the Mediterranean Sea using a model that captures how biotic associations change with sea surface temperature to influence species’ distributions for 215 fish species. Species’ associations control how communities are formed, but the effect of winter warming on associations will be on average four times greater than that of summer warming. Projections using future climate scenarios show that 60% of coastal Mediterranean grid cells are expected to lose fish species by 2040. Heavily fished areas in the west will experience diversity losses that exacerbate regime shifts linked to overexploitation. Incorporating seasonal differences will therefore be critical for developing effective coastal fishery and marine ecosystem management. © 2020, The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer Nature Limited. |
语种 | 英语 |
scopus关键词 | coastal fishery; community structure; environmental disturbance; marine ecosystem; sea surface temperature; warming; Mediterranean Sea |
来源期刊 | Nature Climate Change
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文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/142147 |
作者单位 | UQ Spatial Epidemiology Laboratory, School of Veterinary Science, The University of Queensland, Gatton, QLD, Australia; ARC Centre of Excellence for Coral Reef Studies, James Cook University, Townsville, QLD, Australia; Department of Marine Science, University of Otago, Dunedin, New Zealand |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Clark N.J.,Kerry J.T.,Fraser C.I.. Rapid winter warming could disrupt coastal marine fish community structure[J],2020,10(9). |
APA | Clark N.J.,Kerry J.T.,&Fraser C.I..(2020).Rapid winter warming could disrupt coastal marine fish community structure.Nature Climate Change,10(9). |
MLA | Clark N.J.,et al."Rapid winter warming could disrupt coastal marine fish community structure".Nature Climate Change 10.9(2020). |
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