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DOI10.1038/s41558-020-0838-5
Rapid winter warming could disrupt coastal marine fish community structure
Clark N.J.; Kerry J.T.; Fraser C.I.
发表日期2020
ISSN1758-678X
起始页码862
结束页码867
卷号10期号:9
英文摘要Marine ecosystems are under increasing threat from warming waters. Winter warming is occurring at a faster rate than summer warming for ecosystems around the world, but most studies focus on the summer. Here, we show that winter warming could affect coastal fish community compositions in the Mediterranean Sea using a model that captures how biotic associations change with sea surface temperature to influence species’ distributions for 215 fish species. Species’ associations control how communities are formed, but the effect of winter warming on associations will be on average four times greater than that of summer warming. Projections using future climate scenarios show that 60% of coastal Mediterranean grid cells are expected to lose fish species by 2040. Heavily fished areas in the west will experience diversity losses that exacerbate regime shifts linked to overexploitation. Incorporating seasonal differences will therefore be critical for developing effective coastal fishery and marine ecosystem management. © 2020, The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer Nature Limited.
语种英语
scopus关键词coastal fishery; community structure; environmental disturbance; marine ecosystem; sea surface temperature; warming; Mediterranean Sea
来源期刊Nature Climate Change
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/142147
作者单位UQ Spatial Epidemiology Laboratory, School of Veterinary Science, The University of Queensland, Gatton, QLD, Australia; ARC Centre of Excellence for Coral Reef Studies, James Cook University, Townsville, QLD, Australia; Department of Marine Science, University of Otago, Dunedin, New Zealand
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Clark N.J.,Kerry J.T.,Fraser C.I.. Rapid winter warming could disrupt coastal marine fish community structure[J],2020,10(9).
APA Clark N.J.,Kerry J.T.,&Fraser C.I..(2020).Rapid winter warming could disrupt coastal marine fish community structure.Nature Climate Change,10(9).
MLA Clark N.J.,et al."Rapid winter warming could disrupt coastal marine fish community structure".Nature Climate Change 10.9(2020).
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