气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Climate and society in long-term perspective: Opportunities and pitfalls in the use of historical datasets

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DOI	10.1002/wcc.611
	Climate and society in long-term perspective: Opportunities and pitfalls in the use of historical datasets
	van Bavel B.J.P.; Curtis D.R.; Hannaford M.J.; Moatsos M.; Roosen J.; Soens T.
发表日期	2019
ISSN	1757-7780
EISSN	1757-7779
卷号	10 期号:6
英文摘要	Recent advances in paleoclimatology and the growing digital availability of large historical datasets on human activity have created new opportunities to investigate long-term interactions between climate and society. However, noncritical use of historical datasets can create pitfalls, resulting in misleading findings that may become entrenched as accepted knowledge. We demonstrate pitfalls in the content, use and interpretation of historical datasets in research into climate and society interaction through a systematic review of recent studies on the link between climate and (a) conflict incidence, (b) plague outbreaks and (c) agricultural productivity changes. We propose three sets of interventions to overcome these pitfalls, which involve a more critical and multidisciplinary collection and construction of historical datasets, increased specificity and transparency about uncertainty or biases, and replacing inductive with deductive approaches to causality. This will improve the validity and robustness of interpretations on the long-term relationship between climate and society. This article is categorized under: Climate, History, Society, Culture ' Disciplinary Perspectives. © 2019 The Authors. WIREs Climate Change published by Wiley Periodicals, Inc.
英文关键词	climate and society; conflict; historical datasets; long-term; plague
语种	英语
scopus关键词	History; Productivity; climate and society; conflict; historical datasets; long-term; plague; Large dataset; climate change; conflict management; data set; nature-society relations; paleoclimate
来源期刊	Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/129920
作者单位	Department of History and Art History, Utrecht University, Utrecht, Netherlands; Erasmus School of History, Culture and Communication, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Rotterdam, Netherlands; School of Geography, University of Lincoln, Lincoln, United Kingdom; Department of History, University of Antwerp, Antwerp, Belgium
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	van Bavel B.J.P.,Curtis D.R.,Hannaford M.J.,et al. Climate and society in long-term perspective: Opportunities and pitfalls in the use of historical datasets[J],2019,10(6).
APA	van Bavel B.J.P.,Curtis D.R.,Hannaford M.J.,Moatsos M.,Roosen J.,&Soens T..(2019).Climate and society in long-term perspective: Opportunities and pitfalls in the use of historical datasets.Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change,10(6).
MLA	van Bavel B.J.P.,et al."Climate and society in long-term perspective: Opportunities and pitfalls in the use of historical datasets".Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change 10.6(2019).