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DOI10.1002/wcc.621
On the political feasibility of climate change mitigation pathways: Is it too late to keep warming below 1.5°C?
Jewell J.; Cherp A.
发表日期2020
ISSN1757-7780
EISSN1757-7779
卷号11期号:1
英文摘要Keeping global warming below 1.5°C is technically possible but is it politically feasible? Understanding political feasibility requires answering three questions: (a) “Feasibility of what?,” (b) “Feasibility when and where?,” and (c) “Feasibility for whom?.” In relation to the 1.5°C target, these questions translate into (a) identifying specific actions comprising the 1.5°C pathways; (b) assessing the economic and political costs of these actions in different socioeconomic and political contexts; and (c) assessing the economic and institutional capacity of relevant social actors to bear these costs. This view of political feasibility stresses costs and capacities in contrast to the prevailing focus on benefits and motivations which mistakes desirability for feasibility. The evidence on the political feasibility of required climate actions is not systematic, but clearly indicates that the costs of required actions are too high in relation to capacities to bear these costs in relevant contexts. In the future, costs may decline and capacities may increase which would reduce political constraints for at least some solutions. However, this is unlikely to happen in time to avoid a temperature overshoot. Further research should focus on exploring the “dynamic political feasibility space” constrained by costs and capacities in order to find more feasible pathways to climate stabilization. This article is categorized under: The Carbon Economy and Climate Mitigation > Decarbonizing Energy and/or Reducing Demand. © 2019 The Authors. WIREs Climate Change published by Wiley Periodicals, Inc.
英文关键词climate change mitigation; decarbonization pathways; integrated assessment models; political feasibility
语种英语
scopus关键词Economics; Global warming; Climate change mitigation; Climate mitigations; Climate stabilization; Institutional capacities; Integrated assessment models; Political constraints; political feasibility; Temperature overshoot; Climate models; climate change; cost analysis; feasibility study; global warming; integrated approach
来源期刊Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/129912
作者单位Department of Space, Earth and Environment, Division of Physical Resource Theory, Chalmers University of Technology, Gothenburg, Sweden; Department of Geography and Centre for Climate and Energy Transformations, Faculty of Social Sciences, University of Bergen, Bergen, Norway; Risk and Resilience Program, International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Laxeburg, Austria; Department of Environmental Science and Policy, Central European University, Budapest, Hungary; International Institute for Industrial Environmental Economics, Lund University, Lund, Sweden
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Jewell J.,Cherp A.. On the political feasibility of climate change mitigation pathways: Is it too late to keep warming below 1.5°C?[J],2020,11(1).
APA Jewell J.,&Cherp A..(2020).On the political feasibility of climate change mitigation pathways: Is it too late to keep warming below 1.5°C?.Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change,11(1).
MLA Jewell J.,et al."On the political feasibility of climate change mitigation pathways: Is it too late to keep warming below 1.5°C?".Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change 11.1(2020).
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