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DOI10.1038/s41558-019-0676-5
More green and less blue water in the Alps during warmer summers
Mastrotheodoros T.; Pappas C.; Molnar P.; Burlando P.; Manoli G.; Parajka J.; Rigon R.; Szeles B.; Bottazzi M.; Hadjidoukas P.; Fatichi S.
发表日期2020
ISSN1758678X
卷号10期号:2
英文摘要Climate change can reduce surface-water supply by enhancing evapotranspiration in forested mountains, especially during heatwaves. We investigate this ‘drought paradox’ for the European Alps using a 1,212-station database and hyper-resolution ecohydrological simulations to quantify blue (runoff) and green (evapotranspiration) water fluxes. During the 2003 heatwave, evapotranspiration in large areas over the Alps was above average despite low precipitation, amplifying the runoff deficit by 32% in the most runoff-productive areas (1,300–3,000 m above sea level). A 3 °C air temperature increase could enhance annual evapotranspiration by up to 100 mm (45 mm on average), which would reduce annual runoff at a rate similar to a 3% precipitation decrease. This suggests that green-water feedbacks—which are often poorly represented in large-scale model simulations—pose an additional threat to water resources, especially in dry summers. Despite uncertainty in the validation of the hyper-resolution ecohydrological modelling with observations, this approach permits more realistic predictions of mountain region water availability. © 2020, The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer Nature Limited.
语种英语
scopus关键词air temperature; climate change; ecohydrology; evapotranspiration; heat wave; mountain region; precipitation (climatology); runoff; summer; water flux; Alps
来源期刊Nature Climate Change
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/124229
作者单位ETH Zurich, Institute of Environmental Engineering, Zurich, Switzerland; Département de géographie and Centre d’études nordiques, Université de Montréal, Montréal, QC, Canada; Department of Civil, Environmental and Geomatic Engineering, University College London, London, United Kingdom; Centre for Water Resource Systems, Vienna University of Technology, Vienna, Austria; Department of Civil, Environmental and Mechanical Engineering, DICAM, University of Trento, Trento, Italy; IBM, Zurich Research Laboratory, Zurich, Switzerland
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Mastrotheodoros T.,Pappas C.,Molnar P.,et al. More green and less blue water in the Alps during warmer summers[J],2020,10(2).
APA Mastrotheodoros T..,Pappas C..,Molnar P..,Burlando P..,Manoli G..,...&Fatichi S..(2020).More green and less blue water in the Alps during warmer summers.Nature Climate Change,10(2).
MLA Mastrotheodoros T.,et al."More green and less blue water in the Alps during warmer summers".Nature Climate Change 10.2(2020).
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