气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Framework for quantifying population responses to disturbance reveals that coastal birds are highly resilient to hurricanes

CCPortal

DOI	10.1111/ele.13384
	Framework for quantifying population responses to disturbance reveals that coastal birds are highly resilient to hurricanes
	Field C.R.; Ruskin K.J.; Cohen J.B.; Hodgman T.P.; Kovach A.I.; Olsen B.J.; Shriver W.G.; Elphick C.S.
发表日期	2019
ISSN	1461023X
卷号	22 期号:12
英文摘要	Changes in the frequency and severity of extreme weather may introduce new threats to species that are already under stress from gradual habitat loss and climate change. We provide a probabilistic framework that quantifies potential threats by applying concepts from ecological resilience to single populations. Our approach uses computation to compare disturbance–impacted projections to a population's normal range of variation, quantifying the full range of potential impacts. We illustrate this framework with projection models for coastal birds, which are commonly depicted as vulnerable to disturbances, especially hurricanes and oil spills. We found that populations of coastal specialists are resilient to extreme disturbances, with high resistance to the effects of short-term reductions in vital rates and recovery within 20 years. Applying the general framework presented here across disturbance-prone species and ecosystems would improve understanding of population resilience and generate specific projections of resilience that are needed for effective conservation planning. © 2019 John Wiley & Sons Ltd/CNRS
英文关键词	Bayesian population viability analysis; coastal birds; disturbance; hurricanes; resilience; stochastic population modelling
语种	英语
scopus关键词	Bayesian analysis; bird; climate change; coastal zone; disturbance; ecosystem resilience; habitat loss; hurricane; population modeling; population viability analysis; Aves; animal; bird; climate change; ecology; ecosystem; hurricane; Animals; Birds; Climate Change; Cyclonic Storms; Ecology; Ecosystem
来源期刊	Ecology Letters
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/121003
作者单位	National Socio-Environmental Synthesis Center, University of Maryland, 1 Park Place, Annapolis, MD 21401, United States; Ecology and Environmental Sciences program, University of Maine, 107 Nutting Hall, Orono, ME 04469, United States; Department of Environmental and Forest Biology, State University of New York College of Environmental Science and Forestry, 1 Forestry Drive, Syracuse, NY 13210, United States; Maine Department of Inland Fisheries and Wildlife, Bird Group, 650 State Street, Bangor, ME 04401, United States; Department of Natural Resources and the Environment, University of New Hampshire, 56 College Road, Durham, NH 03824, United States; School of Biology and Ecology, University of Maine, 200 Clapp Greenhouse, Orono, ME 04469, United States; Department of Entomology and Wildlife Ecology, University of Delaware, 257 Townsend Hall, Newark, DE 19716, United States; Department of Ecology & Evolutionary Biology, Center of Biological Risk, University of Connecticut, 75 North Eagleville Road,...
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Field C.R.,Ruskin K.J.,Cohen J.B.,et al. Framework for quantifying population responses to disturbance reveals that coastal birds are highly resilient to hurricanes[J],2019,22(12).
APA	Field C.R..,Ruskin K.J..,Cohen J.B..,Hodgman T.P..,Kovach A.I..,...&Elphick C.S..(2019).Framework for quantifying population responses to disturbance reveals that coastal birds are highly resilient to hurricanes.Ecology Letters,22(12).
MLA	Field C.R.,et al."Framework for quantifying population responses to disturbance reveals that coastal birds are highly resilient to hurricanes".Ecology Letters 22.12(2019).