气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Statistical modelling of "get" system installed at the base of oil reservoir

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	Statistical modelling of "get" system installed at the base of oil reservoir
	Dolgich G.M.; Anikin G.V.; Rilo I.P.; Spasennikova K.A.
发表日期	2015
ISSN	15607496
卷号	19 期号:1
英文摘要	The state of soils under the tank with oil has been calculated. The tank located at the Vankor oil field is cooled by "GET" systems (horizontal system of soil temperature stabilization) produced by OOO NPO "Fundamentstroyarkos". Considered are 48 scenarios for two years, each of which is generated by the Monte-Carlo method based on the distributions of meteorological parameters obtained by averaging of the archive data of the Igarka weather station. It has been demonstrated that the variation in the ground temperature is significant for a variety of options. Thus the conventional univariant forecast becomes doubtful. In this regard a method of stochastic forecasting, which allows identifying the worst-case scenario, is suggested to be used. This scenario must be considered in the design. In addition, the work of "GET" systems is simulated and their properties are investigated.
英文关键词	Monte-Carlo method; Permafrost; Soil; Stochastic forecasting
学科领域	forecasting method; hydrocarbon reservoir; Monte Carlo analysis; numerical model; oil field; permafrost; soil cover; stochasticity
语种	英语
scopus关键词	forecasting method; hydrocarbon reservoir; Monte Carlo analysis; numerical model; oil field; permafrost; soil cover; stochasticity
来源期刊	Earth's Cryosphere
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/119991
作者单位	OOO NPO Fundamentstroyarkos, Novatorov Str., 12, Tyumen, 625014, Russian Federation; Earth Cryosphere Institute, SB RAS, Malygina Str., 86, Tyumen, 625000, Russian Federation
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Dolgich G.M.,Anikin G.V.,Rilo I.P.,et al. Statistical modelling of "get" system installed at the base of oil reservoir[J],2015,19(1).
APA	Dolgich G.M.,Anikin G.V.,Rilo I.P.,&Spasennikova K.A..(2015).Statistical modelling of "get" system installed at the base of oil reservoir.Earth's Cryosphere,19(1).
MLA	Dolgich G.M.,et al."Statistical modelling of "get" system installed at the base of oil reservoir".Earth's Cryosphere 19.1(2015).