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| DOI | 10.1016/j.enpol.2019.111224 |
| EU road vehicle energy consumption and CO2 emissions by 2050 – Expert-based scenarios | |
| Krause J.; Thiel C.; Tsokolis D.; Samaras Z.; Rota C.; Ward A.; Prenninger P.; Coosemans T.; Neugebauer S.; Verhoeve W. | |
| 发表日期 | 2020 |
| ISSN | 0301-4215 |
| 卷号 | 138 |
| 英文摘要 | To inform long-term policies on transport decarbonisation, the present paper analyses European road transport CO2 emission reduction options by 2050. The investigation focusses on measures improving tank to wheel vehicle efficiency, but takes into account upstream emissions of electric vehicles. Measures for vehicle efficiency improvement, transport smoothing, and transport reduction, as well as possible 2050 road vehicle fleet compositions have been quantified through expert group discussion and combined with fleet impact modelling to calculate scenario results. Outcomes show that tank to wheel road transport CO2 emission reductions up to 90% versus 1990 could be reached by 2050 through strong fleet electrification and if all measures achieve their best potential. Under ambitious fleet electrification scenarios, CO2 reduction of more than 60% is reached without measures, but causes substantial additional demand for low-carbon electricity, the availability of which is not covered in this paper. It is likely that policies will be a prerequisite for fleet electrification and efficiency increases of the order of magnitude assumed. Moreover, upstream CO2 emissions of electricity for battery and plug-in hybrid electric vehicles could add up to 40% of tank to wheel emissions, suggesting that complementary policies are needed to avoid shifting transport emissions to other sectors. © 2020 The Authors |
| 英文关键词 | CO2 emissions; Decarbonisation; Electrification; Expert discussion; Modelling; Road transport |
| 学科领域 | Carbon dioxide; Decarbonization; Electric utilities; Emission control; Energy utilization; Fleet operations; Models; Plug-in hybrid vehicles; Roads and streets; Tanks (containers); Vehicle wheels; CO2 emissions; Decarbonisation; Electrification; Expert discussion; Road transports; Road vehicles |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| scopus关键词 | Carbon dioxide; Decarbonization; Electric utilities; Emission control; Energy utilization; Fleet operations; Models; Plug-in hybrid vehicles; Roads and streets; Tanks (containers); Vehicle wheels; CO2 emissions; Decarbonisation; Electrification; Expert discussion; Road transports; Road vehicles |
| 来源期刊 | Energy Policy
 |
| 文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
| 条目标识符 | http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/118105 |
| 作者单位 | European Commission, Joint Research Centre, Via E. Fermi 2749, Ispra, VA 21027, Italy; Laboratory of Applied Thermodynamics, Aristotle University Thessaloniki, Thessaloniki, GR 54124, Greece; University of Brighton, Lewes Road, Brighton, BN2 4AT, United Kingdom; Ricardo UK Ltd, Shoreham Technical Centre, Shoreham-by-Sea, W. Sussex, BN16 3NW, United Kingdom; AVL List GmbH, Hans List Platz 1, Graz, 8020, Austria; Mobility, Logistics and Automotive Technology Research Centre, Vrije Universiteit Brussel (VUB), Pleinlaan 2, Brussel, 1050, Belgium; European Road Transport Research Advisory Council (ERTRAC), 66 Avenue de Cortenbergh, Brussels, 1000, Belgium; Emisia, Square de Meeûs 35, Brussels, B-1000, Belgium |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Krause J.,Thiel C.,Tsokolis D.,等. EU road vehicle energy consumption and CO2 emissions by 2050 – Expert-based scenarios[J],2020,138. |
| APA | Krause J..,Thiel C..,Tsokolis D..,Samaras Z..,Rota C..,...&Verhoeve W..(2020).EU road vehicle energy consumption and CO2 emissions by 2050 – Expert-based scenarios.Energy Policy,138. |
| MLA | Krause J.,et al."EU road vehicle energy consumption and CO2 emissions by 2050 – Expert-based scenarios".Energy Policy 138(2020). |
| 条目包含的文件 | 条目无相关文件。 | |||||
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