气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Challenges to scenario-guided adaptive action on food security under climate change

CCPortal

DOI	10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2014.03.001
	Challenges to scenario-guided adaptive action on food security under climate change
	Vervoort J.M.; Thornton P.K.; Kristjanson P.; Förch W.; Ericksen P.J.; Kok K.; Ingram J.S.I.; Herrero M.; Palazzo A.; Helfgott A.E.S.; Wilkinson A.; Havlík P.; Mason-D'Croz D.; Jost C.
发表日期	2014
ISSN	0959-3780
卷号	28
英文摘要	This paper examines the development and use of scenarios as an approach to guide action in multi-level, multi-actor adaptation contexts such as food security under climate change. Three challenges are highlighted: (1) ensuring the appropriate scope for action; (2) moving beyond intervention-based decision guidance; and (3) developing long-term shared capacity for strategic planning. To overcome these challenges we have applied explorative scenarios and normative back-casting with stakeholders from different sectors at the regional level in East Africa. We then applied lessons about appropriate scope, enabling adaptation pathways, and developing strategic planning capacity to scenarios processes in multiple global regions. Scenarios were created to have a broad enough scope to be relevant to diverse actors, and then adapted by different actor groups to ensure their salience in specific decision contexts. The initial strategy for using the scenarios by bringing a range of actors together to explore new collaborative proposals had limitations as well as strengths versus the application of scenarios for specific actor groups and existing decision pathways. Scenarios development and use transitioned from an intervention-based process to an embedded process characterized by continuous engagement. Feasibility and long-term sustainability could be ensured by having decision makers own the process and focusing on developing strategic planning capacity within their home organizations. © 2014 The Authors.
英文关键词	Adaptation pathways; Back-casting; Climate change; Food systems; Scale; Scenarios
学科领域	adaptation; climate change; decision making; feasibility study; food security; stakeholder; strategic approach; sustainability; East Africa
语种	英语
scopus关键词	adaptation; climate change; decision making; feasibility study; food security; stakeholder; strategic approach; sustainability; East Africa
来源期刊	Global Environmental Change
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/117573
作者单位	Environmental Change Institute, University of Oxford, South Parks Road, Oxford, OX1 3QY, United Kingdom; CGIAR Research Program on Climate Change, Agriculture and Food Security (CCAFS), P.O. Box 30709, Nairobi, Kenya; International Livestock Research Institute (ILRI), P.O. Box 30709, Nairobi, Kenya; Wageningen University, Wageningen, 6700 AA, Netherlands; Natural Environment Research Council, Swindon, SN2 1EU, United Kingdom; International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA), Laxenburg, A-2361, Austria; Smith School of Enterprise and the Environment, University of Oxford, Oxford, OX1 2BQ, United Kingdom; University of Adelaide, Adelaide, SA 5005, Australia; CSIRO, 306 Carmody Road, St Lucia, QLD 4067, Australia; International Food Policy Research Institute, 2033 K Street, NW, Washington, DC 20006-1002, United States
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Vervoort J.M.,Thornton P.K.,Kristjanson P.,et al. Challenges to scenario-guided adaptive action on food security under climate change[J],2014,28.
APA	Vervoort J.M..,Thornton P.K..,Kristjanson P..,Förch W..,Ericksen P.J..,...&Jost C..(2014).Challenges to scenario-guided adaptive action on food security under climate change.Global Environmental Change,28.
MLA	Vervoort J.M.,et al."Challenges to scenario-guided adaptive action on food security under climate change".Global Environmental Change 28(2014).