气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Bridging science and community knowledge? The complicating role of natural variability in perceptions of climate change

CCPortal

DOI	10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2014.12.011
	Bridging science and community knowledge? The complicating role of natural variability in perceptions of climate change
	Finnis J.; Sarkar A.; Stoddart M.C.J.
发表日期	2015
ISSN	0959-3780
卷号	32
英文摘要	Although the spatial and temporal scales on which climate varies is a prominent aspect of climate research in the natural sciences, its treatment in the social sciences remains relatively underdeveloped. The result is limited understanding of the public's capacity to perceive climate variability as distinct from change, and uncertainty surrounding how and when to best communicate information on variability/change. Ignoring variability in favour of change-focused analyses and language risks significant misrepresentation of public perception and knowledge, and precludes detailed synthesis of data from the social and natural sciences. An example is presented based on a regional comparison of variability-dominated climate observations and change-focused survey data, collected in western Newfoundland (Canada). This region experiences pronounced, slow-varying natural variability, which acted to obscure broader climate trends through the 1980s and 1990s; since the late 1990s, the same variability has amplified apparent change. While survey results confirm residents perceive regional climate change, it is not clear whether respondents distinguish variability from change. This presents uncertainty in the best approach to climate science communication in this region, and raises concern that subsequent variability-driven transient cooling will erode public support for climate action. Parallels are drawn between these regional concerns and similar uncertainty surrounding treatment of variability in discussion of global temperature trends, highlighting variability perception as a significant gap in human dimensions of climate change research. © 2015 Elsevier Ltd.
英文关键词	Attitudes; Canada; Climate change; Perception; Variability
学科领域	attitudinal survey; climate change; climate variation; cooling; data set; knowledge; perception; risk factor; spatiotemporal analysis; temperature effect; Canada; Newfoundland; Newfoundland and Labrador
语种	英语
scopus关键词	attitudinal survey; climate change; climate variation; cooling; data set; knowledge; perception; risk factor; spatiotemporal analysis; temperature effect; Canada; Newfoundland; Newfoundland and Labrador
来源期刊	Global Environmental Change
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/117525
作者单位	Dept. of Geography, Memorial University of Newfoundland, St. John's, NL A1B 3X9, Canada; Division of Community Health and Humanities, Faculty of Medicine, Memorial University of Newfoundland, St. John's, NL A1B 3V6, Canada; Dept. of Sociology, Memorial University of Newfoundland, Canada
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Finnis J.,Sarkar A.,Stoddart M.C.J.. Bridging science and community knowledge? The complicating role of natural variability in perceptions of climate change[J],2015,32.
APA	Finnis J.,Sarkar A.,&Stoddart M.C.J..(2015).Bridging science and community knowledge? The complicating role of natural variability in perceptions of climate change.Global Environmental Change,32.
MLA	Finnis J.,et al."Bridging science and community knowledge? The complicating role of natural variability in perceptions of climate change".Global Environmental Change 32(2015).