气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Rainfall variability and violence in rural Kenya: Investigating the effects of drought and the role of local institutions with survey data

CCPortal

DOI	10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2015.04.007
	Rainfall variability and violence in rural Kenya: Investigating the effects of drought and the role of local institutions with survey data
	Linke A.M.; O'Loughlin J.; McCabe J.T.; Tir J.; Witmer F.D.W.
发表日期	2015
ISSN	0959-3780
卷号	34
英文摘要	In the debate about possible linkages between global environmental change and violent conflict, the research is overwhelmingly based on analysis of aggregate data for administrative areas, towns or villages, and geographic grids. With some exceptions, researchers rarely examine social and political processes that might link climate anomalies and violence experiences at the scale of individuals or households. We remedy this shortcoming by analyzing survey data for 504 Kenyans living in three counties collected in November 2013. We probe respondents' attitudes concerning perceived precipitation irregularities and their beliefs and economic activities. We find that in areas with reported worsening drought conditions, inter-community dialogue between ethnic groups has a pacifying conditional influence on support for the use of violence. The presence of local official rules regulating natural resource use consistently has no effect on beliefs about using violence where droughts are reported. To reduce possible bias in the reporting of drought conditions, our statistical models are estimated with controls for changes in measured vegetation health over time in survey sample areas. The moderating effect of inter-community dialogue on attitudes about violence under circumstances of environmental stress points to the importance of social and political contexts in studying connections between environmental change and conflict. © 2015 Elsevier Ltd.
英文关键词	Conflict; Dispute settlement; Drought; Environmental change; Institutions; Kenya
学科领域	climate change; dispute resolution; drought; economic activity; environmental stress; ethnic conflict; global change; institutional framework; local planning; natural resource; rainfall; rural area; socioeconomic survey; spatiotemporal analysis; violence; climate effect; ethnic group; questionnaire survey; social conflict; Kenya
语种	英语
scopus关键词	climate change; dispute resolution; drought; economic activity; environmental stress; ethnic conflict; global change; institutional framework; local planning; natural resource; rainfall; rural area; socioeconomic survey; spatiotemporal analysis; violence; climate effect; ethnic group; questionnaire survey; social conflict; Kenya
来源期刊	Global Environmental Change
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/117489
作者单位	Department of Geography, University of Utah, United States; Institute of Behavioral Science, Department of Geography, University of Colorado Boulder, United States; Institute of Behavioral Science, Department of Anthropology, University of Colorado Boulder, United States; Institute of Behavioral Science, Department of Political Science, University of Colorado Boulder, United States; Department of Computer Science and Engineering, University of Alaska Anchorage, United States
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Linke A.M.,O'Loughlin J.,McCabe J.T.,et al. Rainfall variability and violence in rural Kenya: Investigating the effects of drought and the role of local institutions with survey data[J],2015,34.
APA	Linke A.M.,O'Loughlin J.,McCabe J.T.,Tir J.,&Witmer F.D.W..(2015).Rainfall variability and violence in rural Kenya: Investigating the effects of drought and the role of local institutions with survey data.Global Environmental Change,34.
MLA	Linke A.M.,et al."Rainfall variability and violence in rural Kenya: Investigating the effects of drought and the role of local institutions with survey data".Global Environmental Change 34(2015).