气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): The impact of weather variations on maize yields and household income: Income diversification as adaptation in rural China

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DOI	10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2016.12.006
	The impact of weather variations on maize yields and household income: Income diversification as adaptation in rural China
	Ma J.; Maystadt J.-F.
发表日期	2017
ISSN	0959-3780
卷号	42
英文摘要	Climate change is threatening global food production and could potentially exacerbate food insecurity in many parts of the world. China is the second largest maize producer. Variations in maize yields in China are likely to have major implications for food security in the world. Based on longitudinal data of 4861 households collected annually between 2004 and 2010, we assess the impact of weather variations on maize yields in the two main producing regions in China, the Northern spring maize zone and the Yellow-Huai Valley summer maize zone. We also explore the role of adaptation, by estimating the response of Chinese farmers in both regions, in particular in terms of income diversification. With the use of household and time fixed effects, our estimates relate within-household variations in household outcomes (maize yields, net income, land and input use) to within-location variations in weather conditions. Temperature, drought, wet conditions, and precipitations have detrimental effects on maize yields in the two maize zones. The impact is stronger in the Northern spring maize zone where one standard deviation in temperature and drought conditions decreases maize yields by 1.4% and 2.5%, respectively. Nonetheless, such impact does not seem to translate into a significant fall in total net income. Adaptation seems to be key in explaining such a contrast in the Northern spring maize zone where the largest impact is estimated. On the contrary, we find a lower impact in the other region, the Yellow-Huai Valley summer maize zone but such impact is likely to intensify. The lack of adaptation observed in that region results into detrimental impacts on net farm and total income. Enhancing adaptative behaviors among Chinese farmers even further is likely to be key to future food security in China and in the rest of the world. © 2016 Elsevier Ltd
英文关键词	Adaptation; China; I32; Income diversification; Maize yield; O18; Q54; Weather variations
学科领域	adaptive management; agrometeorology; climate change; crop yield; drought; farmers attitude; food production; food security; household income; maize; rural area; severe weather; China; Zea mays
语种	英语
scopus关键词	adaptive management; agrometeorology; climate change; crop yield; drought; farmers attitude; food production; food security; household income; maize; rural area; severe weather; China; Zea mays
来源期刊	Global Environmental Change
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/117283
作者单位	Institute of Agricultural Economics and Development, Chinese Academy of Agricultural Sciences, No.12, Zhongguangcun nandajie Street, Haidian District, Beijing, 100081, China; Department of Economics, Lancaster University Management School, Lancaster, LA1 4YX, United Kingdom
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Ma J.,Maystadt J.-F.. The impact of weather variations on maize yields and household income: Income diversification as adaptation in rural China[J],2017,42.
APA	Ma J.,&Maystadt J.-F..(2017).The impact of weather variations on maize yields and household income: Income diversification as adaptation in rural China.Global Environmental Change,42.
MLA	Ma J.,et al."The impact of weather variations on maize yields and household income: Income diversification as adaptation in rural China".Global Environmental Change 42(2017).