气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): The double-edged sword of learning from disasters: Mortality in the Tohoku tsunami

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DOI	10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2017.03.002
	The double-edged sword of learning from disasters: Mortality in the Tohoku tsunami
	Plümper T.; Quiroz Flores A.; Neumayer E.
发表日期	2017
ISSN	0959-3780
卷号	44
英文摘要	Learning from natural disasters is predominantly regarded as beneficial: Individuals and governments learn to cope and thereby reduce damage and loss of life in future disasters. We argue against this standard narrative and point to two principal ways in which learning from past disasters can have detrimental consequences: First, investment in protective infrastructures may not only stimulate settlement in hazard-prone areas but also foster a false impression of security, which can prevent individuals from fleeing to safe places when hazard strikes. Second, if disaster events in the past did not have catastrophic consequences, affected individuals do not take future events sufficiently seriously. As a consequence, learning from disasters is a double-edged sword that can prevent large scale damage and human loss most of the time but results in the worst case scenario when a disaster occurs at an unexpected scale and public preparedness measures fail. We demonstrate the devastating impact of misplaced trust in public preparedness measures and misleading lessons drawn from past experience for the case of the 2011 Tohoku tsunami. Our paper contributes to the literatures on ‘negative learning’ and ‘hazard maladaptation’ by demonstrating that a lack of past experience with tsunami mortality in a municipality substantively increases mortality in the Tohoku tsunami. © 2017 Elsevier Ltd
英文关键词	Learning; Mortality; Natural disaster; Public preparedness; Tsunami
学科领域	damage; hazard management; investment; learning; mortality; natural disaster; tsunami event; Honshu; Japan; Tohoku
语种	英语
scopus关键词	damage; hazard management; investment; learning; mortality; natural disaster; tsunami event; Honshu; Japan; Tohoku
来源期刊	Global Environmental Change
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/117258
作者单位	Department of Socioeconomics, Vienna University of Economics and Business, Vienna, Austria; Department of Government, University of Essex, United Kingdom; Department of Geography & Environment, London School of Economics and Political Science, United Kingdom
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Plümper T.,Quiroz Flores A.,Neumayer E.. The double-edged sword of learning from disasters: Mortality in the Tohoku tsunami[J],2017,44.
APA	Plümper T.,Quiroz Flores A.,&Neumayer E..(2017).The double-edged sword of learning from disasters: Mortality in the Tohoku tsunami.Global Environmental Change,44.
MLA	Plümper T.,et al."The double-edged sword of learning from disasters: Mortality in the Tohoku tsunami".Global Environmental Change 44(2017).