气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Assessment of transboundary river basins for potential hydro-political tensions

CCPortal

DOI	10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2017.04.008
	Assessment of transboundary river basins for potential hydro-political tensions
	De Stefano L.; Petersen-Perlman J.D.; Sproles E.A.; Eynard J.; Wolf A.T.
发表日期	2017
ISSN	0959-3780
卷号	45
英文摘要	This paper presents a systematic, global assessment of transboundary watersheds that identifies regions more likely to experience hydro-political tensions over the next decade and beyond based upon environmental, political, and economic indicators. The development of new water infrastructure in transboundary basins can strain relationships among fellow riparians as the impacts of new dams and diversions are felt across borders. Formal arrangements governing transboundary river basins, such as international water treaties and river basin organizations, provide a framework for dialogue and negotiation, thus contributing to assuaging potential disputes. Our study examines these two issues in tandem − the stresses inherent in development and the mitigating impact of institutions − and maps the risk of potential hydro-political tensions that exist where basins may be ill-equipped to deal with transboundary disputes triggered by the construction of new dams and diversions. We also consider several factors that could exacerbate those hydropolitical tensions in the near future, including changes in terrestrial water storage, projected changes in water variability, per capita gross national income, domestic and international armed conflicts, and recent history of disputes over transboundary waters. The study points to the vulnerability of several basins in Southeast Asia, South Asia, Central America, the northern part of the South American continent, the southern Balkans as well as in different parts of Africa, where new water infrastructure is being built or planned, but formal transboundary arrangements are absent. Moreover, in some of these regions there is a concomitance of several political, environmental and socioeconomic factors that could exacerbate hydropolitical tensions. This study contributes to the understanding of how the recent proliferation of development accompanied with unfavourable socio-economic and environmental indicators may influence global hydropolitical resilience. © 2017 Elsevier Ltd
英文关键词	Assessment; Conflict; Cooperation; Dispute; Transboundary; Treaty
学科领域	international agreement; international cooperation; political conflict; river basin; socioeconomic status; transboundary cooperation; vulnerability; water planning; Africa; Balkans; Central America; South Asia; Southeast Asia
语种	英语
scopus关键词	international agreement; international cooperation; political conflict; river basin; socioeconomic status; transboundary cooperation; vulnerability; water planning; Africa; Balkans; Central America; South Asia; Southeast Asia
来源期刊	Global Environmental Change
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/117246
作者单位	Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Madrid, Spain; Water Observatory, Botín Foundation, Madrid, Spain; Oregon State University, Corvallis, OR, United States; Centro de Estudios Avanzados en Zonas Áridas, La Serena, Chile
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	De Stefano L.,Petersen-Perlman J.D.,Sproles E.A.,et al. Assessment of transboundary river basins for potential hydro-political tensions[J],2017,45.
APA	De Stefano L.,Petersen-Perlman J.D.,Sproles E.A.,Eynard J.,&Wolf A.T..(2017).Assessment of transboundary river basins for potential hydro-political tensions.Global Environmental Change,45.
MLA	De Stefano L.,et al."Assessment of transboundary river basins for potential hydro-political tensions".Global Environmental Change 45(2017).