气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): A framework for nitrogen futures in the shared socioeconomic pathways

CCPortal

DOI	10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2019.102029
	A framework for nitrogen futures in the shared socioeconomic pathways
	Kanter D.R.; Winiwarter W.; Bodirsky B.L.; Bouwman L.; Boyer E.; Buckle S.; Compton J.E.; Dalgaard T.; de Vries W.; Leclère D.; Leip A.; Müller C.; Popp A.; Raghuram N.; Rao S.; Sutton M.A.; Tian H.; Westhoek H.; Zhang X.; Zurek M.
发表日期	2020
ISSN	0959-3780
卷号	61
英文摘要	Humanity's transformation of the nitrogen cycle has major consequences for ecosystems, climate and human health, making it one of the key environmental issues of our time. Understanding how trends could evolve over the course of the 21st century is crucial for scientists and decision-makers from local to global scales. Scenario analysis is the primary tool for doing so, and has been applied across all major environmental issues, including nitrogen pollution. However, to date most scenario efforts addressing nitrogen flows have either taken a narrow approach, focusing on a singular impact or sector, or have not been integrated within a broader scenario framework – a missed opportunity given the multiple environmental and socio-economic impacts that nitrogen pollution exacerbates. Capitalizing on our expanding knowledge of nitrogen flows, this study introduces a framework for new nitrogen-focused narratives based on the widely used Shared Socioeconomic Pathways that include all the major nitrogen-polluting sectors (agriculture, industry, transport and wastewater). These new narratives are the first to integrate the influence of climate and other environmental pollution control policies, while also incorporating explicit nitrogen-control measures. The next step is for them to be used as model inputs to evaluate the impact of different nitrogen production, consumption and loss trajectories, and thus advance understanding of how to address environmental impacts while simultaneously meeting key development goals. This effort is an important step in assessing how humanity can return to the planetary boundary of this essential element over the coming century. © 2019 Elsevier Ltd
英文关键词	Environmental policy; Nitrogen pollution; Scenarios
学科领域	capitalism; decision making; environmental issue; nitrogen; nitrogen cycle; pollution control; pollution exposure; socioeconomic conditions
语种	英语
scopus关键词	capitalism; decision making; environmental issue; nitrogen; nitrogen cycle; pollution control; pollution exposure; socioeconomic conditions
来源期刊	Global Environmental change
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/116967
作者单位	Department of Environmental Studies, New York University, 285 Mercer Street, 9th floor, New York, NY 10003, United States; International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Schlossplatz 1, Laxenburg, A-2361, Austria; Institute of Environmental Engineering, University of Zielona Góra, Licealna 9, Zielona Góra, PL 65-417, Poland; Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Telegrafenberg A31, Potsdam, 14473, Germany; Faculty of Geosciences, Utrecht University, Vening Meineszgebouw A, Princetonlaan 8a, Utrecht, 3584 CB, Netherlands; Institutes of Energy and the Environment, Pennsylvania State University, 304 Forest Resources Building, University ParkPA 16802, United States; Environment Directorate, Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development, 2, rue André Pascal, Paris Cedex 16, 75775, France; US Environmental Protection Agency, Western Ecology Division, 200 SW 35th St., Corvallis, OR 97330, United States; Aarhus University, Department of Agroecology, PO Box 50, Tjele, DK-8830, Denmark; ...
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Kanter D.R.,Winiwarter W.,Bodirsky B.L.,et al. A framework for nitrogen futures in the shared socioeconomic pathways[J],2020,61.
APA	Kanter D.R..,Winiwarter W..,Bodirsky B.L..,Bouwman L..,Boyer E..,...&Zurek M..(2020).A framework for nitrogen futures in the shared socioeconomic pathways.Global Environmental change,61.
MLA	Kanter D.R.,et al."A framework for nitrogen futures in the shared socioeconomic pathways".Global Environmental change 61(2020).