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DOI10.1038/s41598-019-49822-6
Extreme Coastal Water Levels Exacerbate Fluvial Flood Hazards in Northwestern Europe
Ganguli, Poulomi1,2; Merz, Bruno2,3
发表日期2019
ISSN2045-2322
卷号9
英文摘要

Compound flooding, such as the co-occurrence of fluvial floods and extreme coastal water levels (CWL), may lead to significant impacts in densely-populated Low Elevation Coastal Zones. They may overstrain disaster management owing to the co-occurrence of inundation from rivers and the sea. Recent studies are limited by analyzing joint dependence between river discharge and either CWL or storm surges, and little is known about return levels of compound flooding, accounting for the covariance between drivers. Here, we assess the compound flood severity and identify hotspots for northwestern Europe during 1970-2014, using a newly developed Compound Hazard Ratio (CHR) that compares the severity of compound flooding associated with extreme CWL with the unconditional T-year fluvial peak discharge. We show that extreme CWL and stronger storms greatly amplify fluvial flood hazards. Our results, based on frequency analyses of observational records during 2013/2014's winter storm Xaver, reveal that the river discharge of the 50-year compound flood is up to 70% larger, conditioned on the occurrence of extreme CWL, than that of the at-site peak discharge. For this event, nearly half of the stream gauges show increased flood hazards, demonstrating the importance of including the compounding effect of extreme CWL in river flood risk management.


WOS研究方向Science & Technology - Other Topics
来源期刊SCIENTIFIC REPORTS
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/102839
作者单位1.Indian Inst Technol Kharagpur, Agr & Food Engn Dept, Kharagpur, W Bengal, India;
2.GFZ German Res Ctr Geosci, Helmholtz Ctr Potsdam, Potsdam, Germany;
3.Univ Potsdam, Inst Environm Sci & Geog, Potsdam, Germany
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Ganguli, Poulomi,Merz, Bruno. Extreme Coastal Water Levels Exacerbate Fluvial Flood Hazards in Northwestern Europe[J],2019,9.
APA Ganguli, Poulomi,&Merz, Bruno.(2019).Extreme Coastal Water Levels Exacerbate Fluvial Flood Hazards in Northwestern Europe.SCIENTIFIC REPORTS,9.
MLA Ganguli, Poulomi,et al."Extreme Coastal Water Levels Exacerbate Fluvial Flood Hazards in Northwestern Europe".SCIENTIFIC REPORTS 9(2019).
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