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| DOI | 10.1111/jfr3.12557 |
| Differences in assigning probabilities to coastal inundation hazard estimators: Event versus response approaches | |
| Sanuy, Marc1; Jimenez, Jose A.1; Ortego, Maria I.2; Toimil, Alexandra3 | |
| 发表日期 | 2019 |
| ISSN | 1753-318X |
| 英文摘要 | Coastal flood risk assessment requires a reliable estimation of the frequency of inundation hazards, that is, characterising the hazard magnitude and assigning a probability of occurrence. In this work we analyse the uncertainty introduced in the assessment associated to the method to assign the probability of occurrence to coastal flood hazards. To this end we have compared the use of two general methods, the response and the event approaches. Different procedures are used to characterise coastal inundation hazards depending on the analysis scale and data availability. Thus, a range of possibilities has been analysed, from simple estimators such as run-up to modelled flood-prone areas. The analysis has been performed for all wave and water level conditions around the Spanish coast. The results show that the differences between the methods are location-dependent, and thus, determined by the exposure to wave and water level conditions. When using the event approach, the run-up or total water level (with good correlation between waves and surge) distributions reasonably approximate those of the response approach with low associated uncertainty. When the assessment aims to output overtopping discharges or inundation maps, observed differences suggest that the event approach would produce misleading conclusions in inundation-related coastal management and decision-making. |
| WOS研究方向 | Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Water Resources |
| 来源期刊 | JOURNAL OF FLOOD RISK MANAGEMENT
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| 文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
| 条目标识符 | http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/101738 |
| 作者单位 | 1.Univ Politecn Cataluna, BarcelonaTech, Lab Engn Maritima, C Jordi Girona 1-3,Campus Nord D1, ES-08034 Barcelona, Spain; 2.Univ Politecn Cataluna, BarcelonaTech, Civil & Environm Engn Dept, COSDA UPC,Appl Math & Stat Sect, Barcelona, Spain; 3.Univ Cantabria, Environm Hydraul Inst IHCantabria, Santander, Spain |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Sanuy, Marc,Jimenez, Jose A.,Ortego, Maria I.,et al. Differences in assigning probabilities to coastal inundation hazard estimators: Event versus response approaches[J],2019. |
| APA | Sanuy, Marc,Jimenez, Jose A.,Ortego, Maria I.,&Toimil, Alexandra.(2019).Differences in assigning probabilities to coastal inundation hazard estimators: Event versus response approaches.JOURNAL OF FLOOD RISK MANAGEMENT. |
| MLA | Sanuy, Marc,et al."Differences in assigning probabilities to coastal inundation hazard estimators: Event versus response approaches".JOURNAL OF FLOOD RISK MANAGEMENT (2019). |
| 条目包含的文件 | 条目无相关文件。 | |||||
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