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DOI10.1111/jfr3.12557
Differences in assigning probabilities to coastal inundation hazard estimators: Event versus response approaches
Sanuy, Marc1; Jimenez, Jose A.1; Ortego, Maria I.2; Toimil, Alexandra3
发表日期2019
ISSN1753-318X
英文摘要

Coastal flood risk assessment requires a reliable estimation of the frequency of inundation hazards, that is, characterising the hazard magnitude and assigning a probability of occurrence. In this work we analyse the uncertainty introduced in the assessment associated to the method to assign the probability of occurrence to coastal flood hazards. To this end we have compared the use of two general methods, the response and the event approaches. Different procedures are used to characterise coastal inundation hazards depending on the analysis scale and data availability. Thus, a range of possibilities has been analysed, from simple estimators such as run-up to modelled flood-prone areas. The analysis has been performed for all wave and water level conditions around the Spanish coast. The results show that the differences between the methods are location-dependent, and thus, determined by the exposure to wave and water level conditions. When using the event approach, the run-up or total water level (with good correlation between waves and surge) distributions reasonably approximate those of the response approach with low associated uncertainty. When the assessment aims to output overtopping discharges or inundation maps, observed differences suggest that the event approach would produce misleading conclusions in inundation-related coastal management and decision-making.


WOS研究方向Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Water Resources
来源期刊JOURNAL OF FLOOD RISK MANAGEMENT
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/101738
作者单位1.Univ Politecn Cataluna, BarcelonaTech, Lab Engn Maritima, C Jordi Girona 1-3,Campus Nord D1, ES-08034 Barcelona, Spain;
2.Univ Politecn Cataluna, BarcelonaTech, Civil & Environm Engn Dept, COSDA UPC,Appl Math & Stat Sect, Barcelona, Spain;
3.Univ Cantabria, Environm Hydraul Inst IHCantabria, Santander, Spain
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Sanuy, Marc,Jimenez, Jose A.,Ortego, Maria I.,et al. Differences in assigning probabilities to coastal inundation hazard estimators: Event versus response approaches[J],2019.
APA Sanuy, Marc,Jimenez, Jose A.,Ortego, Maria I.,&Toimil, Alexandra.(2019).Differences in assigning probabilities to coastal inundation hazard estimators: Event versus response approaches.JOURNAL OF FLOOD RISK MANAGEMENT.
MLA Sanuy, Marc,et al."Differences in assigning probabilities to coastal inundation hazard estimators: Event versus response approaches".JOURNAL OF FLOOD RISK MANAGEMENT (2019).
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