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DOI | 10.1007/s11027-019-09877-2 |
Errors and uncertainties in a gridded carbon dioxide emissions inventory | |
Oda, Tomohiro1,2; Bun, Rostyslav3,4; Kinakh, Vitaliy3; Topylko, Petro3; Halushchak, Mariia3,5; Marland, Gregg6; Lauvaux, Thomas7; Jonas, Matthias5; Maksyutov, Shamil8; Nahorski, Zbigniew9,10; Lesiv, Myroslava5; Danylo, Olha3,5; Horabik-Pyzel, Joanna9 | |
发表日期 | 2019 |
ISSN | 1381-2386 |
EISSN | 1573-1596 |
卷号 | 24期号:6页码:1007-1050 |
英文摘要 | Emission inventories (EIs) are the fundamental tool to monitor compliance with greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions and emission reduction commitments. Inventory accounting guidelines provide the best practices to help EI compilers across different countries and regions make comparable, national emission estimates regardless of differences in data availability. However, there are a variety of sources of error and uncertainty that originate beyond what the inventory guidelines can define. Spatially explicit EIs, which are a key product for atmospheric modeling applications, are often developed for research purposes and there are no specific guidelines to achieve spatial emission estimates. The errors and uncertainties associated with the spatial estimates are unique to the approaches employed and are often difficult to assess. This study compares the global, high-resolution (1 km), fossil fuel, carbon dioxide (CO2), gridded EI Open-source Data Inventory for Anthropogenic CO2 (ODIAC) with the multi-resolution, spatially explicit bottom-up EI geoinformation technologies, spatio-temporal approaches, and full carbon account for improving the accuracy of GHG inventories (GESAPU) over the domain of Poland. By taking full advantage of the data granularity that bottom-up EI offers, this study characterized the potential biases in spatial disaggregation by emission sector (point and non-point emissions) across different scales (national, subnational/regional, and urban policy-relevant scales) and identified the root causes. While two EIs are in agreement in total and sectoral emissions (2.2% for the total emissions), the emission spatial patterns showed large differences (10100% relative differences at 1 km) especially at the urban-rural transitioning areas (90-100%). We however found that the agreement of emissions over urban areas is surprisingly good compared with the estimates previously reported for US cities. This paper also discusses the use of spatially explicit EIs for climate mitigation applications beyond the common use in atmospheric modeling. We conclude with a discussion of current and future challenges of EIs in support of successful implementation of GHG emission monitoring and mitigation activity under the Paris Climate Agreement from the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) 21st Conference of the Parties (COP21). We highlight the importance of capacity building for EI development and coordinated research efforts of EI, atmospheric observations, and modeling to overcome the challenges. |
WOS研究方向 | Environmental Sciences & Ecology |
来源期刊 | MITIGATION AND ADAPTATION STRATEGIES FOR GLOBAL CHANGE
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文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/101012 |
作者单位 | 1.NASA, Global Modeling & Assimilat Off, Goddard Space Flight Ctr, Greenbelt, MD USA; 2.Univ Space Res Assoc, Goddard Earth Sci Technol & Res, Columbia, MD USA; 3.Lviv Polytech Natl Univ, Lvov, Ukraine; 4.WSB Univ, Dabrowa Gornicza, Poland; 5.Int Inst Appl Syst Anal, Laxenburg, Austria; 6.Appalachian State Univ, Dept Geol & Environm Sci, Boone, NC 28608 USA; 7.Lab Sci Climat & Environm, Gif Sur Yvette, France; 8.Natl Inst Environm Studies, Ctr Global Environm Res, Tsukuba, Ibaraki, Japan; 9.Polish Acad Sci, Syst Res Inst, Warsaw, Poland; 10.Warsaw Sch Informat Technol, Warsaw, Poland |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Oda, Tomohiro,Bun, Rostyslav,Kinakh, Vitaliy,et al. Errors and uncertainties in a gridded carbon dioxide emissions inventory[J],2019,24(6):1007-1050. |
APA | Oda, Tomohiro.,Bun, Rostyslav.,Kinakh, Vitaliy.,Topylko, Petro.,Halushchak, Mariia.,...&Horabik-Pyzel, Joanna.(2019).Errors and uncertainties in a gridded carbon dioxide emissions inventory.MITIGATION AND ADAPTATION STRATEGIES FOR GLOBAL CHANGE,24(6),1007-1050. |
MLA | Oda, Tomohiro,et al."Errors and uncertainties in a gridded carbon dioxide emissions inventory".MITIGATION AND ADAPTATION STRATEGIES FOR GLOBAL CHANGE 24.6(2019):1007-1050. |
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